Does the ICE BofAML MOVE Index, the implied volatility of U.S. Treasuries as derived from options on U.S. Treasuries with maturities 2, 5, 10 and 30 years, usefully predict U.S. stock market and U.S. Treasury bond returns? To investigate, we perform ...
Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 9/15/25 through 9/19/25. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what's relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive ...
Are hedge fund-oriented strategies, as implemented by exchange-traded funds (ETF), attractive? To investigate, we consider 10 ETFs, five live and five dead (in order of inception dates): NYLI Hedge Multi-Strategy Tracker ETF (QAI) - seeks investment ...
Are managed futures, as implemented by exchange-traded funds (ETF), attractive? To investigate, we consider six managed futures ETFs, five live and one dead: WisdomTree Managed Futures Strategy (WTMF) - seeks positive total returns in rising or ...
Can investors exploit the uneven playing field of leveraged and inverse exchange-traded fund (LETF) share creation and redemption? In his August 2025 paper entitled "Leveraged ETF Issuance During Market Stress and the Mechanics of Profit: Who's the ...
What variables drive differences in price-to-earnings ratios (P/E) across U.S. stocks? In the September 2025 revision of their paper entitled "The Cross-section of Subjective Expectations: Understanding Prices and Anomalies", Ricardo Delao, Xiao Han ...
Are equity multifactor strategies, as implemented by exchange-traded funds (ETF), attractive? To investigate, we consider eight multifactor ETFs, all currently available: iShares Edge MSCI Multifactor USA (LRGF) - holds large and mid-cap U.S. stocks ...
Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 9/8/25 through 9/12/25. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what's relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive ...
A subscriber asked about the lead-lag relationship between S&P 500 earnings and S&P 500 Index returns. To investigate, we relate actual aggregate S&P 500 operating and as-reported earnings to S&P 500 Index returns at both quarterly and annual ...
The Inflation Forecast now incorporates actual total and core Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August 2025. The actual total (core) inflation rate is slightly higher than (slightly higher than) forecasted. The post Inflation Forecast Update ...
Are preferred stock strategies, as implemented by exchange-traded funds (ETF), attractive? To investigate, we consider seven of the largest preferred stock ETFs, all currently available, in order of longest to shortest available histories: Invesco ...